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Review
"...compelling" (Risk, November 2008)
From the Inside Flap
Macrofinancial risk analysis
"The publication of Gray and Malone's book marks a major tipping point in the history of the science of financial economics. Since its origins in the work of Black, Merton, and Scholes in the early 1970s, the option-pricing approach to risk analysis has found broader and broader application throughout the fields of economics and risk management. Finally it is being applied to the biggest risk-management issues faced by nations: the prevention of financial crises that can cause widespread economic hardship and dislocation for millions of people. I expect that this excellent book will be closely studied by policymakers and concerned citizens everywhere."
-Zvi Bodie, the Norman and Adele Barron Professor of Management, Boston University School of Management
From the Back Cover
Macrofinancial risk analysis
Dale Gray and Samuel Malone
Macrofinancial Risk Analysis provides a new and powerful framework with which policymakers and investors can analyze risk and vulnerability in economies, both emerging market and industrial. Using modern risk management and financial engineering techniques applied to the macroeconomy, an economic value can be placed on the risks posed by inter-linkages between sectors, the risk of default of different sectors on their outstanding debt obligations quantified, and the value ex-ante of guarantees to private sector entities by the government calculated. This book guides the reader through the basic macroeconomic and financial models necessary to understand the framework, the core analytical tools, and more advanced contributions that will be of interest to researchers. This unique synthesis of ideas from finance and macroeconomics offers several original contributions to the theory of financial crises, as well as a range of new policy options for governments interested in achieving a better tradeoff between economic growth and macro risk.
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